US-Politics-Analysis
US strategist on Tuesday highlighted irrevocable shift in US politics.
Simon Rosenberg said that the that the pattern of the past four decades in US politics has undergone sustainable shift and that the Republican brand has been irrevocably damaged.
Rosenberg, director of the New Democrat Network, said that the Democrats have created a new paradigm that means they could dominate politics for a generation.
Since the 1960s, when the Democrats passed civil rights legislation, the southern states have mostly voted Republican in presidential elections.
This has given them an advantage, and only two Democrats, Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton (both southerners), have won the White House in the last 40 years.
The Democrats are better equipped to deal with the new issues, like global warming, immigration, and the global financial crisis, which go beyond traditional left and right divisions.
Simon Rosenberg argues that the US is going through its biggest demographic transformation in history.
"In 1976, 90% of the electorate was white, while in 2008 it was 74%. In the next 30 years, the Census Bureau predicts that the US will no longer be a majority white nation.
"The main reason is the growth of the Hispanic population, which will double from 15% to 30% of the total.
Rosenberg said that the most important result of the election was that Obama won the Hispanic vote by a two-to-one margin.
He pointed out that this vote, magnified by increased turnout, was the key to victory in four of the nine states that shifted to the Democrats (Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, and Florida).
No less impressive was the huge margin of victory for Obama among young voters and new voters.
Winning this large Millennial generation - the children of the baby boomers - is the other key to the future, he said.
Source: IRNA
No comments:
Post a Comment